After reviewing the data from the last few weeks, I’ve decided to stop writing updates for now. Case counts continue to plummet,  prophylactic drugs to treat Covid are widely available, and most places have dropped most, if not all, of their Covid restrictions.

[Apologies for being a day late. I figured the Super Bowl was going to be most of the people’s attention yesterday] Covid cases continue to drop across the United States. While we are still far above the lows from last summer and last

The Omicron wave is coming to a close. Case counts, hospitalizations, and wastewater data show the same trend. Given the relatively light restrictions in this wave, it appears to be the quick spike and drop I expected. The Omicron variant BA.2 is more

I believe we are seeing the end of this wave of Covid and, in general, a return to normal over the coming weeks. In January in the UK, the case fatality rate for Covid was 2x that of seasonal flu and continues to drop.

This week it looks like the Omicron wave has peaked in the US. This is led by a leveling off of cases in California in Texas and drops in the NY metro and Florida. There are still some areas of the US that have

This week the Omicron wave seems like it has started to turn in the parts of the US where it hit first. In New England, which saw the initial Omicron wave in the US, case counts are coming down, and the R is near

This week felt like we finally lost the plot as a country, where our basic reality has split into groups who can't even see the other side. There has always been a small but vocal group of people who pushed back against every measure

Happy New Year! Buckle up for a rough two weeks. We are now setting records for the number of Covid infections per day. Even then, due to issues with testing, we're likely greatly underestimated the number of infected. The seven-day average for hospitalized patients

Covid Christmas 2021. One friend had their flight canceled due to the number of United pilots with active Covid infections. Another friend got home for Christmas and tested positive, and spent five days isolating at a friend's house who was out of town. More

This week the Omicron wave started to really hit the United States. As it has been for the entire pandemic, New York is our canary in the coal mine, and it looks not great. Omicron is doubling every 2-3 days in NY, and it

Last week I posed three questions about Omicron that I want to revisit. Is Omicron more infectious? Yes. Omicron is by far the most infectious Covid variant we’ve seen. It’s staggering to look at some of the charts of how fast it

And I’m back. Despite my belief that we were on the way out after a year of not seeing a new variant of concern, it seems Covid has another round left in it. As you are probably aware, a new variant named Omicron

I wanted to write one more update to give a final overview of where we are and the future. Welcome to our new normal. Covid has become an endemic disease that will be here for the foreseeable future. Obviously, we all wished we had

It’s been six weeks since my last post, and enough has happened that I think an update is in order. This wave has crested for most of the United States. Delta was going to be a problem no matter what, but this wave

This week I'm going to do an overview of the current situation with Covid and kids. It was a hard post to write. The data in some areas is pretty sparse. We have no long-term data of any sort. I also don't have kids,

And I’m back. When I signed off in early June, I had hoped it would be my last, but Covid has sprung up again. This one is a bit longer than usual, but there is a lot to cover. I chose to boot

My watch has ended. This will be my last regular Covid post. It's been 64 weeks since I started to write a weekly Covid update.  I got some things right. I got many things wrong. Week in and out, I tried my best to

I'm more excited about the future than I have been in the entire pandemic. Over 50% of all Americans have now had their first shot. The case count continues to drop, and honestly, it's falling faster than I expected. Most states are fully reopened

Another week, another impressive milestone. This week the US crossed the line for less than 10 cases / 100,000 people per day on the seven-day average. Beyond cases, the positive test rate is down, as are hospitalizations. Week over week, we continue to see

This week we hit a huge milestone; we have fewer Covid cases in the US than ever. Better still, the case count continues to fall. I’m particularly optimistic we won’t rise again because most of America is mostly or entirely open. 99.

The Biden administration announced they expect that 70% of adults will be vaccinated by July 4th. All the projections to date have been highly conservative, so I assume they'll beat this one as well. Today about ~58% of adults are vaccinated. About one-third of

I got my shot! I have the deepest thanks to the scientists and medical professionals who got us here. SF has turned its’ major conference center, Moscone, into a mass vaccination site. It was surreal to walk through a place that usually has thousands

1 billion doses distributed globally. It took 61 days to do the first 100 million doses and only 5 days to do the most recent 100 million. If we can maintain that rate, that would another 5 billion doses out this year, and I

The first 100 million doses took 89 days. The second 100 million doses took just 36 days. We've made such incredible progress, and we're not even six months past the first vaccine authorization. The vaccines also are showing just how fantastic they are. The

It's a tale of two pandemics. In some of America, we're on the cusp of victory. We hit another single-day record this week, doing 4.6 million shots yesterday. That means over 1% of all Americans got their first shot yesterday. 45%+ of adults